[1] Background Results: Democratic Gov. Click any race to see a more detailed forecast, including which polls are influencing our model. The job went instead to Shirley Hufstedler, a federal appellate judge in California. Carter also interviewed Apodaca for Secretary of Education when the U.S. Department of Education was created. 5. Apodaca, a Democrat who became New Mexico's first Hispanic governor in 54 years when he took office in 1975, died at his home in Santa Fe on Wednesday, April 26, 2023, after what may have been a stroke, his son Jeff Apodaca said. New Mexico Governor Primary Election Results. During his four-year term, Apodaca's administration reorganized state government to its current form by creating a cabinet system with 12 departments. However, Ronchetti turned in a stronger-than-expected performance, coming within six points of the now-senator and outpacing President Trump on the ballot by about 16,500 votes. Sign up to receive the latest updates from U.S News & World Report and our trusted partners and sponsors. 2018: Lujan Grisham (D) +14.3 | 2014: Martinez (R) +14.6. Advertisement App users: Tap here to see results Democratic incumbent SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) Jerry Apodaca, a Democrat who became New Mexicos first Hispanic governor in 54 years when he took office in 1975, has died. The Republicans have gained 10 seats they did not previously hold. Updated Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:16 a.m. Eastern. 36 of those Democratic seats were not up for election this year. He was 88. 2024 PollsPresidential ElectionSenateGOP PrimaryDem PrimaryBiden Approval Rating Tracker, Looking for the National Governor Forecast? Counties are colored red or blue when the percent of expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Lujan Grisham (D) is projected to win. He was 88. Gov. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Lujan Grisham (D) 99% of expected vote in. General Election. Now the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial nominee, Mark Ronchetti, is talking up border security big time in his bid against Democratic Gov. See Live New Mexico Governor Election Results and Maps by state, county and district An estimated 100 percent of votes have been counted. You deserve to hear our thinking. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Despite being a reliably Democratic state federally, Illinois elected GOP Governors all throughout the 80s Redistricting will change everything. The Post estimated the lean of 2022 congressional districts using 2020 presidential results by precinct from Decision Desk HQ and estimates where actual votes at the precinct level were unavailable. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. SANTA FE Jerry Apodaca the first Hispanic governor in New Mexicos modern history and a fighter for education reform died Wednesday. WebNew Mexico Governor Midterm Election Results and Maps 2022 | CNN Politics My Election Senate House Governor Secretary of State Ballot Measures State Results Exit We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. WebIncumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham advanced from the Democratic primary for Governor of New Mexico on June 7, 2022. ET. The states 2nd Congressional District, represented by Republican Rep. Yvette Herrell, was drawn to be more Democratic leaning than when the freshman congresswoman was first elected in 2020. Michelle Lujan Grisham is a winnable race given the favorable political environment and controversies during the Democrats first term. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, Cardin's Retirement Opens Door for Crowded Democratic Primary, North Carolina Remap Could Cost Democrats Up to Four Seats in 2024, West Virginia Senate: GOP Scores Recruitment Win With Justice Entrance As Primary Looms, David Wasserman: The Race for the House Will Run Through California. Apodaca also battled allegations linking him to organized crime figures. SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) Jerry Apodaca, a Democrat who Michelle Lujan Grisham and her Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti. Democratic Primary Results. Ronchetti, Grisham's challenger, is a certified meteorologist and worked as the chief meteorologist for Albuquerque's CBS and FOX affiliates. If five polls are found, and there Michelle Lujan Grisham as RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - New Mexico Governor - Republican Primary All rights reserved. SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) Jerry Apodaca, a Democrat who became New Mexicos first Hispanic governor in 54 years when he took office in 1975, has died. The Biden administration will also end the controversial Title 19 travel restrictions. Republican Primary Results. Race for the Vaccine. Lean Biden and Lean Trump districts had estimated vote margins between five and 15 points. He was 88. President Joe Biden had a 10 percentage point margin of victory in 2020, and the state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections in 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a slim margin of less than 1% of the vote. Recent polling had the New Mexico governors The state voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election cycle since 1992, excluding 2004. The Washington Post doesnt call races on its own. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. New Mexico voters head to the polls on Tuesday to cast Updated after every poll. The results of the elections showed strong Republican Party outcomes as nearly every Republican candidate won in a landslide. We rated every race in play in 2022. He is survived by his ex-wife, Clara, three daughters, Cindy, Carolyn, Judy, and two sons, Jerry Jr. and Jeff. Michelle Lujan Grisham. How much money each candidate has raised or what they're expected to get. 29 of those Republican seats were not up for election this year. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Pick criteria like racial diversity and competitiveness to get your lineup. WebSenate Polling. Looking Ahead to the 2022 Governors Race. Live 2022 New Mexico election results and maps by county and district. Four years ago, Michelle Lujan Grisham easily won the election, benefitting both from the 2018 blue wave and a relatively weak opponent in Steve Pearce. Adam Sullivan holds deep influence over Gov. NEW MEXICO (KRQE) The race for New Mexicos next governor is heating up. ET. Republicans believe they have a shot to oust Democratic Gov. Former New Mexico Gov. Four years ago, Michelle Lujan Grisham easily won the election, benefitting both from the 2018 blue wave and a relatively weak opponent in Steve Pearce. However, Republicans The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends. (Jane Phillips/Santa Fe New Mexican via AP, File). "I think the record speaks for itself. The governors race in New Mexico is expected to be a competitive one Republican Mark Ronchetti is challenging Democratic Gov. New Mexico Governor Election Results for the 2022 primary election. General Motors, McDonalds he opened doors for Latinos in the 70s and 80s.. Polls closed in the state at 7 p.m. local time, or 9 p.m. EST. April 23, 2021 New Mexicos next gubernatorial election is a year and a half away not a long time when it comes to political campaigning. By Dan Keating, Harry Stevens and Nick Mourtoupalas. Visit. He was 88. Districts classified as Strong Biden and Strong Trump show where a candidate is estimated to have won by 15 percentage points or more. We plan to reassess and make that By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider The race between Grisham and Ronchetti was rated as "lean Democratic" by Inside Elections, "lean Democratic" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Democratic" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. One of New Mexicos House races is considered a key race this year because of redistricting. * Incumbent Votes. Prior to being elected governor, she represented the 1st Congressional District in the US House for three terms and chaired the Congressional Hispanic Caucus during the 115th Congress. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. New Mexico Governor Election Results 2022: Michelle Lujan Grisham Wins - The New York Times Advertisement Senate House Uncalled House Races Top Races If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. WebFour years ago, Michelle Lujan Grisham easily won the election, benefitting both from the 2018 blue wave and a relatively weak opponent in Steve Pearce. I used to meet with people in Fortune 500 companies, and there was not a meeting that went by where I wouldnt run into a Latino executive whod ask me, Are you Jerrys son? They would tell me so many stories about what hed done, Jeff Apodaca told the Santa Fe New Mexican. Everything is fine. Michelle Garcia Holmes Republican. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. ahead. 6. One of the prominent platforms Grisham is running on is protecting abortion access for New Mexico residents. Projected winner. Polls in most states will close by 9 p.m. Eastern. Born Raymond S. Apodaca in Las Cruces on Oct. 3, 1934, Apodaca graduated from UNM in 1957 and began teaching history and coaching high school football in Albuquerque. FILE - Jerry Apodaca, right, laughs while listening to Senator Ted Kennedy speak at a community college in Santa Fe, New Mexico in 2008. By Kati Perry, Nick Mourtoupalas and Dara Gold. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Grisham is the first Democratic Latina to be elected governor in the country's history. . WebA general election was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, to elect candidates throughout Florida, as part of the 2022 midterm elections.The results of the elections showed strong SANTA FE Jerry Apodaca the first Hispanic governor in New Mexicos modern history and a fighter for education reform died Wednesday. By Shajia Abidi, Alexis Barnes, Jason Bernert, Lenny Bronner, Dana Cassidy, John Cherian, Tyler Fisher, Holden Foreman, Dylan Freedman, Dara Gold, Jen Haskell, Chloe Langston, Emily Liu, Brittany Renee Mayes, Anthony Pesce, Erik Reyna, Ashlyn Still and Chris Zubak-Skees. In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation, and correctly called President Bidens and Senator Kellys narrow Arizona victory months before the election.if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[970,250],'racetothewh_com-box-4','ezslot_9',117,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-racetothewh_com-box-4-0'); Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nations best forecasters. They currently hold 28 seats while Democrats hold 22. Polls open at 9 a.m. After leaving office, he resigned from the fitness panel after being elected to the board of directors for tobacco giant Phillip Morris. Michelle Lujan Grisham defeats Republican Mark Ronchetti in New Mexico's gubernatorial election Hanna Kang and Rob Price Nov 15, All Rights Reserved. A grand jury requested by Apodaca ultimately found no evidence of perjury. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. He later moved back to Las Cruces, opened an insurance business and branched out into retail and real estate. ET and close at 9 p.m. Though incumbent Democratic governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for re-election to a fourth term, he announced in May 2023 that he would not do so. They currently hold 28 seats while Democrats hold 22. How Americas continuing political realignment including redistricting could sway this race. Apodaca called the accusation "a total fabrication.". New Mexico voters head to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots for the governor, the House, state Supreme Court and several down-ballot seats. Ronchetti, a former meteorologist, also ran for Senate in 2020. The story includes biographical material compiled by former AP reporter Tim Korte. Campaigning during the post-Watergate era, Apodaca portrayed himself as The Man Nobody Owns.. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us, Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. Candidate. Last updated Aug. 12, 2022, 8:51 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Republicans believe they have a shot to oust Democratic Gov. Melanie Stansbury Democratic, Incumbent. Despite Republicans winning a slim majority, the national map shows a shift toward the GOP. Before joining Congress, Grisham was a member of the Bernalillo County Commission and also served as head of New Mexico's State Department of Health from 2004 to 2007 under Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. 1. President Biden and the DNC removed Iowa from their early states, but what would you do? Since the 2010 election, Republicans have held the majority of governorships. See the rest of our predictions. Democratic incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham defeated Republican Mark Ronchetti in New Mexico's gubernatorial election. Grisham is the 32nd governor of New Mexico. He lost the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate to Jeff Bingaman, who went on to serve for 30 years. Her opponent, Ronchetti, raised more than $7.8 million, as of October 3. %. WebA general election was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, to elect candidates throughout Florida, as part of the 2022 midterm elections. Senate Polling5. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. (Jane Phillips/Santa Fe New Mexican via AP, File)Jane Phillips. The New Mexico GOP is looking to unseat Democratic Gov. Illinois election odds (Dems 89 cents, GOP 12 cents) A 2014 loss for the party, Democrats won the state back in 2018 behind billionaire J.B. Pritzker, who is running to be the first Illinois Governor to serve two full terms since the 1990s.. Early voting in the state started on Oct. 11 and ended on Saturday. This large district in southwest New Mexico is a target for Democrats Herrell, a Republican, is the incumbent but it favored Biden in 2020. Republicans believe the contest to unseat New Mexico Gov. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome. Gov. Manage Settings Apodaca, a Democrat who became New Mexico's first Hispanic governor in 54 years when he took office in 1975, died at his home in Santa Fe on Wednesday, April 26, 2023, after what may have been a stroke, his son Jeff Apodaca said. Each candidates electability do they over- or under-perform compared to how a generic Democrat or Republican would run in this case. He was 40 when he was inaugurated as governor on Jan. 1, 1975, making him the first Hispanic governor in New Mexico since Octaviano Ambrosio Larrazolo left office in 1921. The election coincided with various other federal and state elections. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Send us an email. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. In the 1974 gubernatorial race, he defeated Republican Joe Skeen by just 3,752 votes. Leading candidates forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in each state. Kathy Hochul, her administration and campaign team, even as skepticism mounts over his judgment and distance from New York. He claimed his administration made government more open and responsive to citizens. WebNew Mexico House. 1.1. Tags: Associated Press, politics, business, New Mexico, Hispanics. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. People vote early for the upcoming midterm elections in Las Cruces, New Mexico, on Oct. 24, 2022. Apodaca started in politics as a state senator from Las Cruces, serving four terms from 1966-76. Republicans believe the contest to unseat New Mexico Gov. New Mexico is a reliably blue state, having voted for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential elections. The success of this administration does not rest entirely on my shoulders.". However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. The 2024 election is primed to be one of the defining moments of the early 21st century for the United States, as both parties have an unusually strong chance at winning a Trifecta. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. By clicking submit, you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions & Privacy Policy. Primary elections were held on June 7. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. New Mexico 2022 midterm election results. Governor Primary. It relies heavily on two nonpartisan organizations with long track records of examining raw vote totals and calling elections: the Associated Press and Edison Research. WebNew Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. Herrells Democratic challenger is Gabe Vasquez, a former Las Cruces city councilman. "I didn't find any logical reason to exclude anyone from the administration just because he helped in the campaign or because he was a friend," he said in December 1978. The former vice president has become the Democratic front-runner with primary victories across the country. WebSpokane. Estimated remaining 9,968. He died at his home in Santa Fe o Clickme! They improved on Donald Trumps margin in most districts. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed. He was 88. Jerry Apodaca, who reorganized the states government into a cabinet-based system in the mid-1970s, has died, Former New Mexico Governor Remembered as Hispanic Role Model, FILE - Jerry Apodaca, right, laughs while listening to Senator Ted Kennedy speak at a community college in Santa Fe, New Mexico in 2008. Who will run in what's likely t https://t.co/QUgykEgBfi. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Democratic Gov. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. While the race for New Mexico governor is still about a year and a half away, three candidates have already announced their bid. Grisham was elected to the governorship in 2018, becoming the first Democratic Latina to be elected governor in the country's history. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Governor Primary6. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. Republicans now hold 222 out of 435 seats in the House. 112 Gov. Not all U.S. presidents are missed once they leave the White House. New Mexico Governor Election Results 2022 d Incumbent Projected winner Michelle Lujan Grisham 52.0% 370,168 r Mark Ronchetti 45.6% 324,701 99% expected 2022 New Mexico Election Results Population 2,097,021 Est. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of adv Looking for the national forecast? that guide every prediction he makes. He took his role seriously, said the younger Apodaca, an Albuquerque businessman and former media executive. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Delivering on a campaign pledge, his administration consolidated agencies and eliminated some boards and commissions. The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. Ronchetti didnt qualify for the ballot at the GOP convention, which isnt unusual he also fell short in 2020 for Senate and said he never intended to go that route. WebThe 2024 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024. Michelle WebRonchetti won the GOP nomination in a landslide Tuesday, outpacing his nearest opponent by 43 percentage points. Grisham is favored to hold onto her seat that she won four years ago, according to FiveThirtyEight. He also served on the University of New Mexico's board of regents from 1985 to 1991. The campaigns have paid particular attention to a few key issues: crime, the economy and education. He was on air for more than two decades, giving him strong name ID and high favorables in the states largest city. While we currently rate the race as Likely Democrat, it certainly has the potential to move into a more competitive category. Republicans are projected to win control of the House, Last data update: Nov. 30, 2022 at 5:29 p.m. April 27, 2023, at 12:52 p.m. Former New Mexico Governor Remembered as Hispanic Role Model. He was 88. See also: Race rating definitions and methods Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. [1] July 2022 Aug. Republicans now hold 49 out of 100 seats in the Senate. All rights reserved. Click here to change which version of the model you see. Stay informed daily on the latest news and advice on COVID-19 from the editors at U.S. News & World Report. Flexible plans & easy cancellations, starting as low as $35/month. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Looking for the National Governor Forecast? His administration implemented tax relief programs, including tax credits, tax rebates and tax rate reductions, but Apodaca was criticized for appointing close friends to public positions. An updating average, accounting for each polls quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. His son talked about the legacy his father left behind, one that fellow Democratic politicians say paved the way for more minorities to enter public office and take on leadership roles in corporate boardrooms across the country. WebThe 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New Mexico. We plan to reassess Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is a winnable race given the favorable political environment and controversies during the Democrats first term. What Election Day looks like based on polls alone, What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more, What Election Day looks like when we add experts ratings to the Classic forecast. Though incumbent Democratic governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for re-election to a fourth term, he announced in May 2023 that he would not do so. Voters in New Mexico can vote by mail or in person and can register to vote up to Election Day. Michelle Lujan Grisham and her Republican challenger, former meteorologist Mark Ronchetti, is in its final stretch. Biden Approval Rating Map3. Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) Jerry Apodaca, a Democrat who became New Mexico's first Hispanic governor in 54 years when he took office in 1975, has died. He died at his home in Santa Fe on Wednesday after what may have been a stroke, his son Jeff Apodaca said. 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She was first elected Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. The GOP nominee, former Senate hopeful and TV meteorologist Mark Ronchetti, outran Donald Trump on the 2020 ballot but still finished with less than 46 percent of the vote. The governors race in New Mexico is expected to be a competitive one Republican Mark Ronchetti is challenging Democratic Gov. The Democrats have gained 1 seat they did not previously hold. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. He was 88. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. While we currently rate the race as Likely Democrat, it certainly has the potential to move into a more competitive category.